Occupancy Forecast

The nights of March 3 to April 12 are represented on the graphs below. Guest nights on the books are -7% to last year and -8% to 2 years ago (2YA). Breckenridge has 84% of last year’s actual nights on the books during these dates. Easter is April 5, 2026.

Last year, between March 15 and April 12, Breckenridge properties added another 6,000 guest nights into these dates.

• The mid-week nights of March 23 to 26 have approximately 15% of schools on spring break.
  • Guest nights on the books in 2026 are -25% to last year. Limited opportunities to gain ground during these dates.
• The mid-week nights of March 30 to April 1 have approximately 25% of schools on spring break.
  • Guest nights on the books are +25% to +45% to last year.
  • By April 2, a Thursday, 65% of schools are on break.
  • These dates provide the best opportunity to add guest nights to the books.
  • While the number of nights on the books are some of the lowest of the month of March, there will be significantly more people in Breckenridge and Summit County than there were during these dates last year.
• Notice how the week after Easter is pacing above each of the past two years.
• Pray for more snow. The environment needs it more than the business.

Texas schools are on Spring Break during a two-week period beginning with March 7, 2026 thru March 22, 2026. Percent of Public schools and Universities on break.

• March 7 to 14: as much as 20% on Break
• March 15 to 21: Weekends, 50% on break, midweek 33%
• March 22 to 28: Weekends, 50% on break, midweek 13%
• March 29 to April 12: April 4 & 5 = 74% on break, midweek nights: 20% + on break

Guest nights on the books compared to prior years

Date                                        Variance to 2025        Variance to 2024

Saturday, March 21                             -14%                            -17%

Saturday, March 28                             +0%                             -21%

Saturday, April 4                                  +19%                           +23%

Dates                                                   Variance to 2025        Variance to 2024

March 22 to 28                                                -23%                            -35%

March 29 to April 4                                         +36%                           +0%

The nights of April 13 to April 30 are represented below. Guest nights on the books are -52% to 2025. Breckenridge has approximately 27% of last year’s actual guest nights on the books.  Easter was on April 20, 2025.

Summer season guest nights on the books are currently pacing -2.7% to summer 2025 and -28% to Summer 2024. Breckenridge has 18% of summer 2025 actual guest nights on the books.

June 2026 guest nights on the books are -24% to last year with 25% of last year’s actuals on the books at this time. June 2026 will be an uphill battle as June 2025 included the Colorado Municipal League, which was over 3,000 Monday to Thursday guest nights in mid to late June.

• July guest nights on the books are +4% year over year (YOY)
• August guest nights are +10% YOY
• September guest nights are +6% YOY

The March 15, 2026, Key Data reports include 53 properties and 3,137 of approximately 4,016 licensed short-term rentals in Breckenridge plus hotel properties. The data includes resorts, private homes, and hotels. Many of these units are on Rent by Owner (RBO) sites Airbnb and VRBO.